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Census Tract · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

San Marcos Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48209010306 · Hays, TX · pop 4,612 · 80% of tract blocks fall in San Marcos

48209010306 is a census tract in San Marcos, TX. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,612. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 27% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,380
Renter share63.2%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$51,970

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In San Marcos
High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 46 tracts In Hays
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11,153 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.9161, -97.8790 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Marcos scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,338 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9

How San Marcos compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Marcos risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0103065.9San Marcosparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Marcos

Against the Hays County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.5% against 11.3% nationally. Against Hays County at 50.2%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,338, close to the San Marcos average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $51,970. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010306

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010306?

Census tract 48209010306 in San Marcos scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48209010306?

Median gross rent is $1,338/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010306?

28.6% of residents in tract 48209010306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,612.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 50th, minority 83th, housing 96th.
Q5

How does tract 48209010306 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010306 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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