Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

San Marcos Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48209010302 · Hays, TX · pop 5,121 · 94% of tract blocks fall in San Marcos

Census tract 48209010302 belongs to San Marcos in Hays County, Texas. It is home to 5,121 residents and scores 6.6/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,240 a month while the average household earns $41,111 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 18% Owners 31%

Tract context

Occupied units1,748

Renter share69.2%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate39.3%

Median income$41,111

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8672, -97.9012 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Marcos scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Marcos

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

39.3% poverty · this tract

9.8

Supply constraint

$1,240 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Marcos

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

How San Marcos compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Marcos

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hays County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010302?

Census tract 48209010302 in San Marcos scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48209010302?

Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010302?

39.3% of residents in tract 48209010302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,121.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 86th, minority 79th, housing 95th.

How does tract 48209010302 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010302 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.