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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Beaumont

Tract 48245011700 · Jefferson, TX · pop 1,527 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 48245011700 sits in the Old Town area of Beaumont eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 1,527 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 41% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units632
Renter share62.7%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate27.6%
Median income$50,465

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Old Town
Elevated
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 34 tracts In Beaumont
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#30 of 76 tracts In Jefferson
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Beaumont and the region

Centroid at 30.0856, -94.1031 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Beaumont
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.6% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$874 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beaumont
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beaumont
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beaumont
3.0

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0117003.4Beaumontparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 35% here against 44.6% across Jefferson County. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.8% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. At $874 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Beaumont commands.

9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Beaumont. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48245011700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48245011700?

Census tract 48245011700 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48245011700?

Median gross rent is $874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48245011700?

27.6% of residents in tract 48245011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,527.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48245011700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 83th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 48245011700 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48245011700 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48245011700 compare to Beaumont overall?

Tract 48245011700 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Beaumont at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beaumont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48245011700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Beaumont

Top eight tracts in Beaumont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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