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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Walden Eviction Risk: Moderate , Beaumont

Tract 48245002200 · Jefferson, TX · pop 2,734 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 48245002200 sits in the Walden area of Beaumont eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 2,734 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.9/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 28% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,097
Renter share55.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate39.7%
Median income$39,743

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Walden
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 34 tracts In Beaumont
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 76 tracts In Jefferson
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Beaumont and the region

Centroid at 30.0381, -94.1250 · click any tract to drill in

Why Walden scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Beaumont
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.7% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$749 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beaumont
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beaumont
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beaumont
3.0

How Walden compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Walden risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0022003.4Beaumontparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Walden. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Walden

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. At $749 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Beaumont commands.

Disability prevalence runs 46.7% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Jefferson County average of 44.6%.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Beaumont. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48245002200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48245002200?

Census tract 48245002200 in the Walden neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48245002200?

Median gross rent is $749/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48245002200?

39.7% of residents in tract 48245002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,734.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48245002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 99th, minority 95th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 48245002200 considered part of Walden?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48245002200 fall within Walden (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48245002200 compare to Beaumont overall?

Tract 48245002200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Beaumont at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beaumont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 48245002200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Beaumont

Top eight tracts in Beaumont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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