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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Carlisle Eviction Risk: Lower , Lubbock

Tract 48303000406 · Lubbock, TX · pop 1,750 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Eviction risk in the Carlisle area of Lubbock centers on tract 48303000406, which scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,750 residents. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,218 monthly, set against $96,150 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 11% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units710
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$96,150

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Carlisle
Very Low
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 94 tracts In Lubbock
Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 106 tracts In Lubbock
Low
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#3,559 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lubbock and the region

Centroid at 33.5850, -101.9701 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carlisle scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lubbock
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lubbock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lubbock
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lubbock
2.0

How Carlisle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carlisle risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 000406Lubbock: 2.72.7Lubbockparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carlisle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carlisle

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lubbock County average of 4.5 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48303000406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303000406?

Census tract 48303000406 in the Carlisle neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48303000406?

Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48303000406?

10.6% of residents in tract 48303000406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,750.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48303000406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 11th, minority 58th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 48303000406 considered part of Carlisle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303000406 fall within Carlisle (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48303000406 compare to Lubbock overall?

Tract 48303000406 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lubbock at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock

Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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