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Neighborhood · Austin, TX

Timber Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,438 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.6–5.4

Timber Creek takes in 2 census tracts of Austin, TX and houses 5,438 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. At $971 a month, rents sit 44% under what the rest of Austin commands.

Against a Austin baseline of 29.1%, 19% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records for this tract carry 4 eviction filings. The severe-burden share is 10%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 1,150.0% of renter households.

Among the 151 mapped neighborhoods of Austin, it ranks #37 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 335.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Chestnut and Little Texas score within a fraction of it. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Timber Creek vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
18.7% -36%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$971 -44%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$33,143 -64%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
28.8% +135%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
12.8% -77%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Timber Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.6–5.4

Why Timber Creek scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
19% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
28.8% below poverty line · Range 1.7–10.0 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Timber Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Timber Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Timber CreekNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Timber Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453002319 5.4 2,340 , ,
48453002452 4.6 3,098 33% $1,704
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Timber Creek

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings (sum)
  • 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1,150.0%Peak year (2004)
  • 0.00%Latest filed (2012)
Frequently asked

About Timber Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Timber Creek?

Timber Creek scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Timber Creek compare to Austin overall?

Timber Creek scores 0.9 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 19% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $971 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in Timber Creek?

Average gross rent in Timber Creek is $971/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Timber Creek residents are renters?

13% of Timber Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 5,438 residents.
Q5

Is Timber Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Timber Creek sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Timber Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Timber Creek is census tract 48453002319 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.4, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Timber Creek for landlords?

Timber Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Timber Creek?

Timber Creek has 5,045 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (32%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Timber Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Timber Creek.

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