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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51013102400 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,608 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 51013102400 sits in the Arlington Heights area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 3,608. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Arlington County average of 38.9%.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 32% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,477
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$168,405

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arlington Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Moderate
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#226 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8706, -77.0891 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington Heights scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,976 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Arlington Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlington Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 102400Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak (2016)
  • 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington Heights

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 15 evictions over 1 years of observation. At $1,976 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Arlington commands.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $168,405, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013102400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013102400?

Census tract 51013102400 in the Arlington Heights neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013102400?

Median gross rent is $1,976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013102400?

6.6% of residents in tract 51013102400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,608.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013102400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 26th, minority 70th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 51013102400 considered part of Arlington Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013102400 fall within Arlington Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013102400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013102400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013102400 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013102400 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013102400 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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