1 census tracts · pop 8,197 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10
· range 7.4–7.4
Arlington Mill is a one-tract neighborhood of Arlington, VA and houses 8,197 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.4/10, Elevated tier. 57% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Arlington rate of 26.5%.
36% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,688 a month, rents sit 27% under what the rest of Arlington commands. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 194 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 8.4% of renter households. 18.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
That places it #1 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington. Judgments average 1.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Virginia Highlands and Buckingham.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $79,068.
63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arlington Mill vs ArlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Arlington Mill
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
194Total filings (sum)
8.36%Avg annual filing rate
8.4%Peak year (2016)
8.36%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arlington Mill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.3%Housing insecurity
10.8%Utility shutoff threat
22.3%Food insecurity
17.1%SNAP enrollment
18.1%No health insurance
30.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Arlington Mill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Arlington Mill?
Arlington Mill scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Arlington Mill compare to Arlington overall?
Arlington Mill scores 1.4 points higher than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,688 vs $2,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in Arlington Mill?
Average gross rent in Arlington eviction risk Mill is $1,688/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Arlington Mill residents are renters?
63% of Arlington Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 8,197 residents.
Q5
Is Arlington Mill a high social-vulnerability area?
Arlington Mill sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Arlington Mill for landlords?
Arlington eviction risk Mill carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Arlington Mill?
Arlington Mill has 7,882 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
