Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Boulevard Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 51013101200 · Arlington County, VA · pop 4,091 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51013101200 covers part of the Boulevard Manor area of Arlington, VA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,091. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$186,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8729, -77.1383 · click any tract to drill in
Why Boulevard Manor scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,177 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Boulevard Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2016)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.5%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Boulevard Manor
71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Arlington County average of 38.9%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 6.5% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 13 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013101200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101200?
Census tract 51013101200 in the Boulevard Manor neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013101200?
Median gross rent is $2,177/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101200?
3.2% of residents in tract 51013101200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,091.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 59th, minority 51th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 51013101200 considered part of Boulevard Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101200 fall within Boulevard Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013101200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013101200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.28% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51013101200 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51013101200 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013101200 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Douglas Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lyon Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Virginia Highlands
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Buckingham
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington Mill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Addison Heights
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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