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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Oakwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013100100 · Arlington County, VA · pop 5,339 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51013100100 is a census tract in the Oakwood area of Arlington, VA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,339 residents. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Arlington County average of 38.9%.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,784
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$239,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oakwood
Moderate
Within parent city
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#70 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#70 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Very Low
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#421 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8957, -77.1581 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakwood scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Oakwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 100100Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2016)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakwood

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of Arlington commands.

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 5.2% against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Arlington County average of 5.9. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.1% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013100100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013100100?

Census tract 51013100100 in the Oakwood neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013100100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013100100?

2.1% of residents in tract 51013100100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,339.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013100100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 62th, minority 42th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 51013100100 considered part of Oakwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013100100 fall within Oakwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013100100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013100100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.11% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51013100100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51013100100 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013100100 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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