Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Virginia Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington
Tract 51013102804 ·
Arlington County, VA · pop 3,972 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 51013102804 in the Virginia Heights area of Arlington, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,972. Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 26%Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,904
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$83,026
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Virginia Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
84th percentile
#12 of 71 tracts In Arlington
High
Within county
86th percentile
#11 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
High
Within state
96th percentile
#81 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8524, -77.1133 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Heights scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,885 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Virginia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
52%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.0%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
10.9%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Heights
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. At $1,885 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Arlington commands. Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $83,026.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013102804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013102804?
Census tract 51013102804 in the Virginia Heights neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013102804?
Median gross rent is $1,885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013102804?
3.3% of residents in tract 51013102804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,972.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013102804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 6th, minority 76th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 51013102804 considered part of Virginia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013102804 fall within Virginia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51013102804 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51013102804 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013102804 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.