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Neighborhood · Chesapeake, VA

Willow Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,394 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Willow Lakes is a one-tract neighborhood of Chesapeake, VA, population 6,394. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs roughly three in four against 33.8% citywide, putting Willow Lakes 41.2% over its own city.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.2/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,206, 24% below the Chesapeake average of $1,586. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

That places it #29 of 48 neighborhoods in Chesapeake. At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Forest Hills and Cornland score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Willow Lakes vs Chesapeake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
75.0% +122%
Chesapeake: 33.8%
Average gross rent
$1,206 -24%
Chesapeake: $1,586
Average HH income
$112,120 +19%
Chesapeake: $94,189
Poverty rate
4.9% -44%
Chesapeake: 8.7%
Renter share
24.1% -6%
Chesapeake: 25.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Willow Lakes scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
75% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Willow Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Willow Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Willow LakesNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Willow Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51550021507 3 6,394 75% $1,206
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 20%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willow Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Willow Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Lakes?

Willow Lakes scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Willow Lakes compare to Chesapeake overall?

Willow Lakes scores 0.4 points lower than Chesapeake overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,206 vs $1,586.
Q3

What is the average rent in Willow Lakes?

Average gross rent in Willow Lakes is $1,206/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Willow Lakes residents are renters?

24% of Willow Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 6,394 residents.
Q5

Is Willow Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow Lakes sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Willow Lakes for landlords?

Willow Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Lakes?

Willow Lakes has 6,778 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52%), Black (non-Hispanic) (33.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chesapeake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow Lakes.

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