Neighborhood · Chesapeake, VA

Willow Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,394 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.6/10 · range 1.6–1.6

Willow Lakes is a white-black neighborhood in Chesapeake with 1 census tract and a population of 6,394 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 75% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,206/month sits 24% lower than the Chesapeake citywide average ($1,586).

Risk score

1.6

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Willow Lakes vs Chesapeake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

75.0% +122%

Chesapeake: 33.8%

Average gross rent

$1,206 -24%

Chesapeake: $1,586

Average HH income

$112,120 +19%

Chesapeake: $94,189

Poverty rate

4.9% -44%

Chesapeake: 8.7%

Renter share

24.1% -6%

Chesapeake: 25.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.6–1.6

Why Willow Lakes scores 1.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

75% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

24% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts

2.1

Risk score comparison

Willow Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Willow Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51550021507	1.6	6,394	75%	$1,206

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 69%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 20%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willow Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.6%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility shutoff threat
14.8%Food insecurity
12.8%SNAP enrollment
7.5%No health insurance
29.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Willow Lakes

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Lakes?

Willow Lakes scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Willow Lakes compare to Chesapeake overall?

Willow Lakes scores 2.0 points lower than Chesapeake overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,206 vs $1,586.

What is the average rent in Willow Lakes?

Average gross rent in Willow Lakes is $1,206/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Willow Lakes residents are renters?

24% of Willow Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 6,394 residents.

Is Willow Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow Lakes sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Willow Lakes for landlords?

Willow Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Lakes?

Willow Lakes has 6,778 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52%), Black (non-Hispanic) (33.2%), Hispanic / Latino (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow Lakes

2.6 Woodland Terrace 2 tracts · pop 4,547 2.8 West Munden 3 tracts · pop 10,179 1.7 Bells Mill 2 tracts · pop 10,171 2.5 River Arch Village 2 tracts · pop 5,236 1.2 Pines of Warrick 3 tracts · pop 11,639 2.6 Bayberry Place 3 tracts · pop 8,426

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chesapeake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow Lakes.

1.6 Long Ridge 1 tracts · pop 5,026 1.7 Mallory Square 1 tracts · pop 1,693 1.7 Owens Village 1 tracts · pop 2,034 1.7 Mount Pleasant 1 tracts · pop 3,338 1.7 Bells Mill 2 tracts · pop 10,171 1.5 Chadswyck 1 tracts · pop 3,413

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