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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Woodards Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021009 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,946 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 51550021009 belongs to the Woodards Mill area of Chesapeake, Virginia. It is home to 4,946 residents and scores 4.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #63,674 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,673 a month while the average household earns $156,743 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 3% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,485
Renter share5.5%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$156,743

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Woodards Mill
Moderate
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Very Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#60 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,987 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.6591, -76.2167 · click any tract to drill in

Why Woodards Mill scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,673 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Woodards Mill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Woodards Mill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 021009Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 53Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 23.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.1%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 515500210092011: 9 filings (26.47/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (29.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 9 filings (26.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (17.65/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (14.71/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (24.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 56% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Woodards Mill

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021009

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021009?

Census tract 51550021009 in the Woodards Mill neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021009?

Median gross rent is $2,673/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021009?

2.4% of residents in tract 51550021009 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,946.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021009?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 30th, minority 15th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021009 considered part of Woodards Mill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021009 fall within Woodards Mill (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021009?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550021009 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.14% of renter households, peaking at 24.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51550021009 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51550021009 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021009 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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