Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Broadmoor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021403 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 5,486 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Here is how census tract 51550021403, in the Broadmoor neighborhood of Chesapeake eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,486. On the national scale it ranks #53,094 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,214 monthly, set against $60,205 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,861
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate28.4%
Median income$60,205
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7762, -76.3160 · click any tract to drill in
Why Broadmoor scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.4% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,214 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Broadmoor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,905Total filings over 6 yrs
- 34.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 57.9%Peak (2011)
- 159Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 70% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.7%Food insecurity
- 23.8%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 20.8%Frequent mental distress
- 39.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Broadmoor
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,905 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 34.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 57.9% of renter households in 2011.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021403?
Census tract 51550021403 in the Broadmoor neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021403?
Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021403?
28.4% of residents in tract 51550021403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,486.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 85th, minority 60th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021403 considered part of Broadmoor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021403 fall within Broadmoor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,905 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550021403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.78% of renter households, peaking at 57.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550021403 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550021403 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021403 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51550021403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Westover
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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