Broadmoor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake

Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,214, 23% below the Chesapeake average. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Chesapeake City average of 3.6.

SNAP participation runs 23.8% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 1,905 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

Running hot, economic stress reads 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2011, when 57.9% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 34.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.