Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021407 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,169 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 51550021407 covers part of the Crystal Lake area of Chesapeake, VA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 3% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$77,574

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Crystal Lake
Moderate
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Very High
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7806, -76.3712 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Lake scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,432 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Crystal Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0214073.4Chesapeakeparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Lake

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. SNAP participation runs 23.1% against 15.2% nationally.

At $1,432 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Chesapeake commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Chesapeake rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $77,574.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021407?

Census tract 51550021407 in the Crystal Lake neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021407?

Median gross rent is $1,432/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021407?

25.3% of residents in tract 51550021407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,169.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 91th, minority 91th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021407 considered part of Crystal Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021407 fall within Crystal Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550021407 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550021407 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021407 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related