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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021407 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,169 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Crystal Lake neighborhood of Chesapeake anchors census tract 51550021407, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,432 monthly, set against $77,574 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 6% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 3% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$77,574

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Crystal Lake
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Very High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#665 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7806, -76.3712 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Lake scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,432 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Crystal Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 021407Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Lake

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021407?

Census tract 51550021407 in the Crystal Lake neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021407?

Median gross rent is $1,432/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021407?

25.3% of residents in tract 51550021407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,169.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 91th, minority 91th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021407 considered part of Crystal Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021407 fall within Crystal Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550021407 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550021407 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021407 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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