Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Campostella Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020100 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,870 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51550020100 covers part of the Campostella Square area of Chesapeake, VA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,870 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,998
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate40.3%
Median income$50,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.8117, -76.2516 · click any tract to drill in
Why Campostella Square scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
40.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,337 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Campostella Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,134Total filings over 6 yrs
- 26.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.4%Peak (2011)
- 394Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.0%Housing insecurity
- 25.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.9%Food insecurity
- 45.9%SNAP enrollment
- 21.9%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 22.6%Frequent mental distress
- 44.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Campostella Square
Food insecurity runs 41.9% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Chesapeake City average of 49.2%.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.9% against 31.5% nationally.
It sits 1.2 points above the Chesapeake City average of 3.6. Average gross rent is $1,337, 16% below the Chesapeake average.
Court records carry 2,134 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.9/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020100?
Census tract 51550020100 in the Campostella Square neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550020100?
Median gross rent is $1,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020100?
40.3% of residents in tract 51550020100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,870.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 84th, minority 91th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 51550020100 considered part of Campostella Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020100 fall within Campostella Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550020100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,134 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550020100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.06% of renter households, peaking at 30.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550020100 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550020100 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020100 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51550020100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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