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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Sheffield Court Eviction Risk: Lower , Bon Air

Tract 51041100902 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 4,025 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

51041100902 is a census tract in the Sheffield Court area of Bon Air, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,025 residents. Against Chesterfield County at 42.3%, 15% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 13% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,499
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$131,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sheffield Court
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Bon Air
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bon Air and the region

Centroid at 37.5323, -77.5692 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sheffield Court scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bon Air
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,169 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bon Air
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bon Air
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bon Air
4.5

How Sheffield Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sheffield Court risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 1009024.0Bon Airparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 76Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2014)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51041100902
Filings dropped 15% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sheffield Court

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

The voucher gap is 26.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10.

At $2,169 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Bon Air commands. SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 76 filings here across 7 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 7.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100902?

Census tract 51041100902 in the Sheffield Court neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100902?

Median gross rent is $2,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100902?

2.4% of residents in tract 51041100902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 27th, minority 28th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100902 considered part of Sheffield Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100902 fall within Sheffield Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 76 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.57% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100902 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100902 compare to Bon Air overall?

Tract 51041100902 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Bon Air at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bon Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bon Air

Top eight tracts in Bon Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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