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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Woodmont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bon Air

Tract 51041100921 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,817 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

51041100921 is a census tract in the Woodmont area of Bon Air, VA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,817 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 19% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,348
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$81,476

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Woodmont
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Bon Air
Very High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#545 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bon Air and the region

Centroid at 37.5199, -77.5863 · click any tract to drill in

Why Woodmont scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bon Air
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,709 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bon Air
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bon Air
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bon Air
4.5

How Woodmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Woodmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 1009214.0Bon Airparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,144Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 17.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.2%Peak (2012)
  • 88Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51041100921
Filings dropped 48% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Woodmont

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Court records carry 1,144 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points above the Chesterfield County average of 4.2. The worst year on record was 2012, when 20.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 17.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. 40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,709, close to the Bon Air average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $81,476.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100921

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100921?

Census tract 51041100921 in the Woodmont neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100921?

Median gross rent is $1,709/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100921?

10.9% of residents in tract 51041100921 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,817.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100921?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 28th, minority 47th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100921 considered part of Woodmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100921 fall within Woodmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100921?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,144 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100921 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.83% of renter households, peaking at 20.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100921 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100921 compare to Bon Air overall?

Tract 51041100921 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bon Air at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bon Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bon Air

Top eight tracts in Bon Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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