Spring Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Bon Air
Tract 51041100106 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,851 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 51041100106 in the Spring Grove area of Bon Air, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Bon Air and the region
Centroid at 37.5195, -77.5493 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Grove scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Spring Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 72Total filings over 7 yrs
- 10.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2014)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Spring Grove
At $2,620 a month, rents run 46% over what the rest of Bon Air commands. The voucher gap is 53.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 72 filings here across 7 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 14.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 10.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51041100106
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100106?
What is the average rent in tract 51041100106?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100106?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100106?
Is tract 51041100106 considered part of Spring Grove?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100106?
What share of households in tract 51041100106 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51041100106 compare to Bon Air overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Bon Air
Top eight tracts in Bon Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.