Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Greenfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bon Air
Tract 51041100920 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 1,586 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51041100920 covers part of the Greenfield area of Bon Air, VA, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units768
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$70,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bon Air and the region
Centroid at 37.5124, -77.6024 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greenfield scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bon Air
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,587 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bon Air
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bon Air
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bon Air
4.5
How Greenfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 497Total filings over 7 yrs
- 19.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.5%Peak (2016)
- 125Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 594% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greenfield
80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Against Chesterfield County at 42.3%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 497 evictions over 7 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,587, 12% below the Bon Air average.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 19.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 19.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100920
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100920?
Census tract 51041100920 in the Greenfield neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100920?
Median gross rent is $1,587/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100920?
5.1% of residents in tract 51041100920 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100920?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 41th, minority 65th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100920 considered part of Greenfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100920 fall within Greenfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100920?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 497 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100920 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.92% of renter households, peaking at 19.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100920 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100920 compare to Bon Air overall?
Tract 51041100920 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bon Air at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bon Air; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bon Air
Top eight tracts in Bon Air ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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