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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Sherwood Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 51590000300 · Danville city, VA · pop 3,083 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Sherwood Forest area of Danville is where census tract 51590000300 sits, home to 3,083 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.5/10. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $867 monthly, set against $49,091 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 37% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,318
Renter share62.4%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$49,091

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sherwood Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 16 tracts In Danville
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 16 tracts In Danville city
Very Low
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.6047, -79.3922 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sherwood Forest scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9

How Sherwood Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sherwood Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 000300Danville: 3.73.7Danvilleparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sherwood Forest

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000300?

Census tract 51590000300 in the Sherwood Forest neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51590000300?

Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000300?

18.7% of residents in tract 51590000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,083.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 71th, minority 84th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 51590000300 considered part of Sherwood Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000300 fall within Sherwood Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51590000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51590000300 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590000300 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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