Keene Mill Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Burke
Tract 51059431002 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,238 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
51059431002 is a census tract in the Keene Mill Heights area of Burke, VA. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Burke and the region
Centroid at 38.7772, -77.2549 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keene Mill Heights scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Keene Mill Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2011)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keene Mill Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.2%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Keene Mill Heights
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,574, 11% below the Burke average.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $129,605.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059431002
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059431002?
What is the average rent in tract 51059431002?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059431002?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059431002?
Is tract 51059431002 considered part of Keene Mill Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059431002?
What share of households in tract 51059431002 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059431002 compare to Burke overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Burke
Top eight tracts in Burke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.