3 census tracts · pop 14,029 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3.4–3.8
Keene Mill Heights spans 3 census tracts of Burke, VA, population 14,029. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The voucher gap is 39.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 24% of renter households. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 8.9/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.1/10.
Court records carry 47 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.9% of adults, 9.9 points below the national rate.
Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.9/10. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.3% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $3,229, 12% above the Burke average of $2,894. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Burke, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
At 9% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Keene Mill Heights vs BurkeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport2%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Keene Mill Heights
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
47Total filings (sum)
1.97%Avg annual filing rate
4.3%Peak year (2016)
3.52%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Keene Mill Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.3%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
6.7%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
5.2%No health insurance
20.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Keene Mill Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Keene Mill Heights?
Keene Mill Heights scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Keene Mill Heights compare to Burke overall?
Keene Mill Heights scores 0.5 points lower than Burke overall (4/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $3,229 vs $2,894.
Q3
What is the average rent in Keene Mill Heights?
Average gross rent in Keene Mill Heights is $3,229/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Keene Mill Heights residents are renters?
9% of Keene Mill Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Burke). The neighborhood has 14,029 residents.
Q5
Is Keene Mill Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Keene Mill Heights sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Keene Mill Heights have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Keene Mill Heights is census tract 51059431002 (score 3.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.8, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Keene Mill Heights for landlords?
Keene Mill Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Keene Mill Heights?
Keene Mill Heights has 13,639 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.7%), Hispanic / Latino (12.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
