Townes of Burke Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059431900 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,161 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 51059431900 sits in the Townes of Burke eviction risk area of Burke eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 3,161. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Burke and the region
Centroid at 38.7975, -77.2579 · click any tract to drill in
Why Townes of Burke scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Townes of Burke compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Townes of Burke. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 11.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Townes of Burke
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 21% above the Burke average.
SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Court records carry 4 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 2.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059431900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059431900?
What is the average rent in tract 51059431900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059431900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059431900?
Is tract 51059431900 considered part of Townes of Burke?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059431900?
What share of households in tract 51059431900 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059431900 compare to Burke overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Burke
Top eight tracts in Burke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.