Keene Mill Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Burke
Tract 51059432402 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,561 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51059432402 belongs to the Keene Mill Heights area of Burke, Virginia. It is home to 5,561 residents and scores 5.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $206,250 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Burke and the region
Centroid at 38.7630, -77.2676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keene Mill Heights scores 1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Keene Mill Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keene Mill Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.9%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Keene Mill Heights
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burke eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 1.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059432402
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059432402?
What is the average rent in tract 51059432402?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059432402?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059432402?
Is tract 51059432402 considered part of Keene Mill Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059432402?
What share of households in tract 51059432402 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059432402 compare to Burke overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Burke
Top eight tracts in Burke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.