Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Amberleigh Eviction Risk: Lower , Franconia
Tract 51059421101 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,385 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51059421101 sits in the Amberleigh area of Franconia, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. It is home to 5,385 residents. Cost burden runs 26% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,211
Renter share19.9%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$172,378
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Franconia and the region
Centroid at 38.7515, -77.1731 · click any tract to drill in
Why Amberleigh scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Franconia
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,673 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Franconia
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Franconia
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Franconia
2.8
How Amberleigh compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2016)
- 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Amberleigh
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.5% against 31.5% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.8/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421101?
Census tract 51059421101 in the Amberleigh neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421101?
Median gross rent is $2,673/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421101?
1.0% of residents in tract 51059421101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,385.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 22th, minority 72th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421101 considered part of Amberleigh?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421101 fall within Amberleigh (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.06% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421101 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421101 compare to Franconia overall?
Tract 51059421101 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Franconia at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Franconia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Franconia
Top eight tracts in Franconia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related