Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Brookfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Chantilly

Tract 51059482601 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 7,132 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

51059482601 is a census tract in the Brookfield area of Chantilly, VA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,228
Renter share11.4%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$167,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Brookfield
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Chantilly
Very Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#208 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,505 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chantilly and the region

Centroid at 38.8988, -77.4141 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brookfield scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chantilly
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,759 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chantilly
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chantilly
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chantilly
4.7

How Brookfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brookfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 482601Chantilly: 4.04.0Chantillyparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2012)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594826012011: 4 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (1.64/100 renter HHs)2013: 6 filings (1.64/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (1.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brookfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brookfield

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 19.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,759 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Chantilly commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.

It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. The filing record is not thin: 20 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 1.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059482601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482601?

Census tract 51059482601 in the Brookfield neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059482601?

Median gross rent is $2,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482601?

0.4% of residents in tract 51059482601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,132.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 21th, minority 70th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 51059482601 considered part of Brookfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482601 fall within Brookfield (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.36% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059482601 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059482601 compare to Chantilly overall?

Tract 51059482601 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chantilly at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chantilly eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chantilly

Top eight tracts in Chantilly ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related