Greens of Fair Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greenbriar
Tract 51059491801 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,615 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51059491801 sits in the Greens of Fair Lakes area of Fair Lakes, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 2,615. Cost burden runs about half here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Greenbriar and the region
Centroid at 38.8575, -77.3947 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greens of Fair Lakes scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Greens of Fair Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2011)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greens of Fair Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Greens of Fair Lakes
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 filings here across 4 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 3.7% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $2,202, 9% below the Fair Lakes average. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059491801
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491801?
What is the average rent in tract 51059491801?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491801?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491801?
Is tract 51059491801 considered part of Greens of Fair Lakes?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491801?
What share of households in tract 51059491801 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491801 compare to Greenbriar overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Greenbriar
Top eight tracts in Greenbriar ranked by composite eviction-risk score.