Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Anne Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059482206 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 995 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51059482206 covers the Lake Anne Village area of Reston, home to 995 residents. For landlords it grades 5.4/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $71,678 a year. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units541
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$71,678
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9667, -77.3479 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Anne Village scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Lake Anne Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Anne Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 10.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Anne Village
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Reston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482206?
Census tract 51059482206 in the Lake Anne Village neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482206?
10.1% of residents in tract 51059482206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 995.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 92th, minority 56th, housing 33th.
Q4
Is tract 51059482206 considered part of Lake Anne Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482206 fall within Lake Anne Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51059482206 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51059482206 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482206 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Deepwood
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Halley Rise
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Colvin's Glen
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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