2 census tracts · pop 6,985 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3.4–3.5
Colony Park is a 2-tract neighborhood of Fairfax Station, VA, population 6,985. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 44% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs roughly three in four against 45.2% citywide, putting Colony Park 26.9% over its own city. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.
Court records carry 43 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
The voucher gap is 13.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity affects 8.1% of adults, 9.7 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.5% of renter households.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. At $2,617 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Fairfax Station commands.
Judgments average 1.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Colony Park vs Fairfax StationHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport6%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Colony Park
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
43Total filings (sum)
2.71%Avg annual filing rate
4.5%Peak year (2016)
3.46%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Colony Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.1%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility shutoff threat
8.0%Food insecurity
5.0%SNAP enrollment
6.1%No health insurance
21.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Colony Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Colony Park?
Colony Park scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Colony Park compare to Fairfax Station overall?
Colony Park scores 0.5 points lower than Fairfax Station overall (4/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 45% citywide. Average rent: $2,617 vs $2,794.
Q3
What is the average rent in Colony Park?
Average gross rent in Colony Park is $2,617/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Colony Park residents are renters?
13% of Colony Park households are renter-occupied (vs 6% in Fairfax Station). The neighborhood has 6,985 residents.
Q5
Is Colony Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Colony Park sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Colony Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Colony Park is census tract 51059430201 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.5, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Colony Park for landlords?
Colony Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fairfax Station as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Colony Park?
Colony Park has 6,737 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.4%), Hispanic / Latino (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
