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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Tysons Green Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51059460400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,082 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

51059460400 is a census tract in the Tysons Green area of Tysons, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,082 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 33% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,940
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$156,699

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Tysons Green
Very High
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Tysons
Low
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#51 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#251 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tysons and the region

Centroid at 38.9232, -77.2524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tysons Green scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tysons
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,542 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tysons
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tysons
3.9

How Tysons Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tysons Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 460400Tysons: 5.95.9Tysonsparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 50Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2013)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594604002011: 11 filings (1.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (2.73/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 27% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tysons Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tysons Green

Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Housing insecurity runs 5.0% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 50 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059460400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460400?

Census tract 51059460400 in the Tysons Green neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059460400?

Median gross rent is $2,542/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460400?

4.9% of residents in tract 51059460400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,082.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 43th, minority 66th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 51059460400 considered part of Tysons Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460400 fall within Tysons Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059460400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059460400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.71% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059460400 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059460400 compare to Tysons overall?

Tract 51059460400 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Tysons at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tysons

Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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