Ash Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tysons

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 2.5 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 12.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,595, close to the Tysons average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.