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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Old Courthouse Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tysons

Tract 51059480205 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,554 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51059480205 covers part of the Old Courthouse area of Tysons, VA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,554. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 59% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,328
Renter share84.8%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$125,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Old Courthouse
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Tysons
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#126 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tysons and the region

Centroid at 38.9210, -77.2240 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Courthouse scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tysons
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,633 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tysons
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tysons
3.9

How Old Courthouse compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Courthouse risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 480205Tysons: 5.95.9Tysonsparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Courthouse. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Courthouse

85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Cost burden runs 31% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.4/10.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The voucher gap is 13.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059480205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480205?

Census tract 51059480205 in the Old Courthouse neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059480205?

Median gross rent is $2,633/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480205?

7.8% of residents in tract 51059480205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,554.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 4th, minority 64th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 51059480205 considered part of Old Courthouse?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059480205 fall within Old Courthouse (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51059480205 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51059480205 compare to Tysons overall?

Tract 51059480205 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Tysons at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tysons

Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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