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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Olney Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tysons

Tract 51059471201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,072 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 51059471201 sits in the Olney Park area of Tysons eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. Population here is 3,072. Cost burden runs 18% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 38% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,651
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$120,739

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Olney Park
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Tysons
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#147 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tysons and the region

Centroid at 38.9176, -77.2151 · click any tract to drill in

Why Olney Park scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tysons
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,027 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tysons
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tysons
3.9

How Olney Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Olney Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 471201Tysons: 5.95.9Tysonsparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2016)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594712012011: 13 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (0.66/100 renter HHs)2013: 10 filings (0.94/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Olney Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Olney Park

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3. At $2,027 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Tysons commands. Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally.

Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059471201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471201?

Census tract 51059471201 in the Olney Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059471201?

Median gross rent is $2,027/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471201?

6.0% of residents in tract 51059471201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,072.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 24th, minority 77th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 51059471201 considered part of Olney Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471201 fall within Olney Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059471201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059471201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.14% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059471201 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059471201 compare to Tysons overall?

Tract 51059471201 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Tysons at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tysons

Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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