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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Burke View Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51059430902 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,560 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

51059430902 is a census tract in the Burke View area of Burke, VA. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,560 residents. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 10% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,090
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$157,222

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Burke View
Moderate
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Burke
High
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#156 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burke and the region

Centroid at 38.7917, -77.2588 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burke View scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burke
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,327 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burke
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burke
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burke
3.6

How Burke View compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burke View risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 430902Burke: 4.04.0Burkeparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2016)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594309022011: 6 filings (3.49/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2016: 8 filings (4.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burke View

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. At $2,327 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Burke commands.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 20 filings here across 4 tracked years. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.9/10. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $157,222, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059430902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059430902?

Census tract 51059430902 in the Burke View neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059430902?

Median gross rent is $2,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059430902?

6.1% of residents in tract 51059430902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,560.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059430902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 71th, minority 75th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 51059430902 considered part of Burke View?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059430902 fall within Burke View (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059430902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059430902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059430902 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059430902 compare to Burke overall?

Tract 51059430902 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Burke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burke

Top eight tracts in Burke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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