Keene Mill Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , West Springfield
Tract 51059430802 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,032 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51059430802, home to 4,032 residents in Keene Mill Manor in West Springfield, scores 5.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,756 a month against an average household income of $120,870 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across West Springfield and the region
Centroid at 38.7886, -77.2271 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keene Mill Manor scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Keene Mill Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2016)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keene Mill Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Keene Mill Manor
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059430802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059430802?
What is the average rent in tract 51059430802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059430802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059430802?
Is tract 51059430802 considered part of Keene Mill Manor?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059430802?
What share of households in tract 51059430802 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059430802 compare to West Springfield overall?
Highest-risk tracts in West Springfield
Top eight tracts in West Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.