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Neighborhood · West Springfield, VA

Keene Mill Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,438 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.4–3.9

Keene Mill Manor spans 2 census tracts of West Springfield, VA and houses 8,438 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 40%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 59% against 28.2% citywide, putting Keene Mill Manor 30.5% over its own city. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.

Court records carry 62 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.5% of adults, 9.3 points below the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 7.3% of renter households. Average gross rent is $2,296, 6% below the West Springfield average of $2,455. Judgments average 1.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Fairfax Park and Westview Hills.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Keene Mill Manor vs West Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.7% +108%
West Springfield: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,296 -6%
West Springfield: $2,455
Average HH income
$148,678 -6%
West Springfield: $157,800
Poverty rate
2.8% -23%
West Springfield: 3.7%
Renter share
12.7% -16%
West Springfield: 15.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Keene Mill Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–3.9

Why Keene Mill Manor scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–7.1 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Keene Mill Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Keene Mill Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Keene Mill Manor: 3.63.6Keene Mill ManorNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Keene Mill Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059430802 3.9 4,032 62% $1,756
51059430801 3.4 4,406 56% $2,790
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Keene Mill Manor

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 62Total filings (sum)
  • 3.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.97%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Keene Mill Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Keene Mill Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Keene Mill Manor?

Keene Mill Manor scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Keene Mill Manor compare to West Springfield overall?

Keene Mill Manor scores 0.4 points lower than West Springfield overall (4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,296 vs $2,455.
Q3

What is the average rent in Keene Mill Manor?

Average gross rent in Keene Mill Manor is $2,296/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Keene Mill Manor residents are renters?

13% of Keene Mill Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in West Springfield). The neighborhood has 8,438 residents.
Q5

Is Keene Mill Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Keene Mill Manor sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Keene Mill Manor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Keene Mill Manor is census tract 51059430802 (score 3.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.9, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Keene Mill Manor for landlords?

Keene Mill Manor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to West Springfield as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Keene Mill Manor?

Keene Mill Manor has 8,241 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.8%), Hispanic / Latino (21.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Keene Mill Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside West Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Keene Mill Manor.

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