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Lake Monticello, Virginia eviction risk overview
City brief · 10,662 residents

Lake Monticello, VA Eviction Risk: LOW

Fluvanna County · Population 10,662

In 2026
Risk score
3.4
LOW

33th percentile, Virginia.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.1 Average3.0 Now3.4
4.4 2.1 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.1 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 2.3 1981 · score 2.5 1982 · score 2.6 1983 · score 2.6 1984 · score 2.6 1985 · score 2.7 1986 · score 2.7 1987 · score 2.7 1988 · score 2.9 1989 · score 2.9 1990 · score 2.9 1991 · score 3.0 1992 · score 3.0 1993 · score 3.0 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 3.0 1997 · score 3.1 1998 · score 3.1 1999 · score 3.0 2000 · score 3.0 2001 · score 3.0 2002 · score 3.1 2003 · score 3.1 2004 · score 3.0 2005 · score 3.0 2006 · score 3.0 2007 · score 3.0 2008 · score 3.1 2009 · score 3.2 2010 · score 3.2 2011 · score 3.2 2012 · score 3.1 2013 · score 3.1 2014 · score 3.1 2015 · score 3.1 2016 · score 3.1 2017 · score 3.1 2018 · score 3.1 2019 · score 3.3 2020 · score 4.1 2021 · score 4.4 2022 · score 3.5 2023 · score 3.4 2024 · score 3.4 2025 · score 3.4 2026 · score 3.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.3 Regional 5.3 State 3.2 Economic 4.1 Supply 5.7 Rent Control 3.4 Eviction 3.0 Tenant 2.0 Housing 3.8 3.4 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +6.3% (2024)
    5.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.3
  3. State political climate
    Virginia legislature & governorship
    3.2
  4. Economic stress
    7.5% poverty · 2.1% unemp.
    4.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,981 average · 4.1% renters
    5.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    25.1% of income on rent
    3.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    60 days filing → judgment
    3.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    4.1% renters
    2.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Monticello and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Lake Monticello compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Fluvanna County
Elevated
#2 of 4 cities
Rank in county, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 cities in Fluvanna County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Virginia
Low
#496 of 683 cities
Rank in state, 27th percentileLowHigh
#496 of 683 cities in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Lake Monticello risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Lake Monticello: 3.43.4Lake MonticelloThis cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avg

Virginia landlord-tenant law

Eviction rules are set at the state level. These are the Virginia statutes, timelines and dollar figures that govern every property on this page.

Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3.4
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3.4/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 60d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,981/mo. A contested eviction takes 60 days and costs $1,866–$6,318 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026
  3. 4.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 10,662 residents, 4.1% rent. 25% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.5% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026
  4. 5.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.3 and 5.3 (GOP margin +6.3% (2024)). State climate at 3.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 3.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 3.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 3, housing court bias 3.8, rent-control risk 3.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.0 since '00
    197620012026
  6. 4.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.1. Supply constraint: 5.7. The numbers behind those: 7.5% poverty, 2.1% unemployment, 25% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Lake Monticello sits in the slow but cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Harrisonburg, VA · 51d · ~$3.8k all-in ($75/day) · score 4.3 Harrisonburg Virginia Beach, VA · 50d · ~$3.9k all-in ($79/day) · score 3.8 Virginia Beach Chesapeake, VA · 54d · ~$3.9k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.4 Chesapeake Arlington, VA · 57d · ~$4.2k all-in ($73/day) · score 6 Arlington Norfolk, VA · 53d · ~$3.7k all-in ($70/day) · score 4.1 Norfolk Richmond, VA · 55d · ~$3.5k all-in ($64/day) · score 4.3 Richmond Newport News, VA · 52d · ~$4.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 4 Newport News Alexandria, VA · 58d · ~$3.7k all-in ($65/day) · score 5.9 Alexandria Hampton, VA · 52d · ~$3.9k all-in ($75/day) · score 3.9 Hampton Suffolk, VA · 59d · ~$3.6k all-in ($60/day) · score 3.4 Suffolk Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.6 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.3 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.6 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Lake Monticello
Lake Monticello · 60d · ~$4.1k all-in ($68/day) · score 3.4 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Lake Monticello, VA

Landlording in Lake Monticello, Virginia, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Lake Monticello is a city of 10,662 residents where 4.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 25.1% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,981/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Lake Monticello eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 3/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Lake Monticello closes 60 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Lake Monticello's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Lake Monticello runs $1,866 to $6,318 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 60 days of typical timeline and $1,981/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2/10 in Lake Monticello, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Virginia, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Lake Monticello: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Virginia's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $6,318 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Lake Monticello

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 60 days and roughly $6,318 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $2,527 to $3,790 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under VRLTA Va. Code 55.1-1245.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 10,534 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline). Past 12 months: 139,873 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 643,855.

  • 10,534Past month
  • 139,873Past 12 months
  • 1.07×vs baseline (past mo)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Filings dropped 12% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant for being late on rent just once?

Yes, in Virginia, if a tenant is late on rent, you can issue a 5-day pay-or-quit notice. If they don't pay or move out within those five days, you can proceed with an eviction filing. There's no requirement for multiple late payments before you can act.

Q2

What if my tenant damages the property during the eviction process?

Document all damages with photos and videos. This evidence will be crucial when you deduct from the security deposit or pursue additional damages in court. Remember, your security deposit return deadline is 45 days, so act fast to assess damages.

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Lake Monticello?

While not legally required, it's highly recommended. An attorney ensures all notices are correct, filings are timely, and court procedures are followed perfectly. Given the typical eviction cost range of $1,866, $6,318 and the 60-day timeline, a lawyer can save you significant time and money by preventing errors.

Q4

Can I turn off utilities to get a tenant to leave?

Absolutely not. This is illegal in Virginia and considered a "self-help" eviction. You could face serious penalties, including financial damages to the tenant. Always follow the legal eviction process through the courts.

Q5

Is there rent control in Lake Monticello?

No, there is no statewide rent control in Virginia, and Lake Monticello does not have its own local rent control ordinances. This means you are generally free to set market rates for your rental properties. You can learn more on our Virginia rent control rules page.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3.4/10 places Lake Monticello in the 33rd percentile of Virginia cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.