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Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

Court House Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Court House Hill maps to a single census tract in Lynchburg, VA, population 567. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Against a Lynchburg baseline of 31.0%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 165 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10.

The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 23.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.0% in 2016, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $999, 7% below the Lynchburg average of $1,073.

Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Lynchburg, it ranks #9 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Westend and Lower Rivermont.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $42,270.

One tract means one number: 4.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Court House Hill vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.5% +40%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$999 -7%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$42,270 -29%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
21.7% +25%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
95.8% +87%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Court House Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Court House Hill scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
96% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
21.7% below poverty line · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Court House Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Court House Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4Court House HillNeighborhood3.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Court House Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680000500 4.4 567 43% $999
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 39

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Court House Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 165Total filings (sum)
  • 13.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 5.01%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Court House Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Court House Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Court House Hill?

Court House Hill scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Court House Hill compare to Lynchburg overall?

Court House Hill scores 0.5 points higher than Lynchburg overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $999 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Court House Hill?

Average gross rent in Court House Hill is $999/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Court House Hill residents are renters?

96% of Court House Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 567 residents.
Q5

Is Court House Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Court House Hill sits in the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Court House Hill for landlords?

Court House Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Court House Hill?

Court House Hill has 628 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.1%), Other / Multiracial (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Court House Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Court House Hill.

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