Skip to content
Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

Lower Rivermont Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,923 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

Lower Rivermont maps to a single census tract in Lynchburg, VA and houses 2,923 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 31.0% citywide, putting Lower Rivermont 13.5% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

Average gross rent is $813, 24% below the Lynchburg average of $1,073. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Court records for this tract carry 588 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 20.9% of renter households.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. That places it #8 of 22 neighborhoods in Lynchburg.

Judgments average 10.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Court House Hill and Cornerstone.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $42,750.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Rivermont vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.5% +44%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$813 -24%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$42,750 -29%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
20.6% +18%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
50.0% -2%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Rivermont and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why Lower Rivermont scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
20.6% below poverty line · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Lower Rivermont vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Rivermont score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6Lower RivermontNeighborhood3.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lower Rivermont

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680000400 4.6 2,923 44% $813
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lower Rivermont

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 588Total filings (sum)
  • 21.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 20.91%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Rivermont

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower Rivermont

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Rivermont?

Lower Rivermont scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Rivermont compare to Lynchburg overall?

Lower Rivermont scores 0.7 points higher than Lynchburg overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $813 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Rivermont?

Average gross rent in Lower Rivermont is $813/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Rivermont residents are renters?

50% of Lower Rivermont households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 2,923 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Rivermont a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Rivermont sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lower Rivermont for landlords?

Lower Rivermont carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Rivermont?

Lower Rivermont has 2,912 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (57.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (0.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Rivermont

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Rivermont.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further