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Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

Lower Rivermont Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,923 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Lower Rivermont is a black-white neighborhood in Lynchburg with 1 census tract and a population of 2,923 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $813/month sits 24% lower than the Lynchburg citywide average ($1,073).

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Rivermont vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.5% +44%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$813 -24%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$42,750 -29%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
20.6% +18%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
50.0% -2%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Rivermont and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Lower Rivermont scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
20.6% below poverty line · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Lower Rivermont vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Rivermont score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lower Rivermont: 5.25.2Lower RivermontNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lower Rivermont

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680000400 5.2 2,923 44% $813
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lower Rivermont

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 588Total filings (sum)
  • 21.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 20.91%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Rivermont

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower Rivermont

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Rivermont?

Lower Rivermont scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Rivermont compare to Lynchburg overall?

Lower Rivermont scores 1.2 points higher than Lynchburg overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $813 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Rivermont?

Average gross rent in Lower Rivermont is $813/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Rivermont residents are renters?

50% of Lower Rivermont households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 2,923 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Rivermont a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Rivermont sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lower Rivermont for landlords?

Lower Rivermont carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Rivermont?

Lower Rivermont has 2,912 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (57.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (0.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Rivermont

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Rivermont.

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