Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Court House Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000500 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 567 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51680000500 covers part of the Court House Hill area of Lynchburg, VA, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 567. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 54%
Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units401
Renter share95.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$42,270
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.4147, -79.1415 · click any tract to drill in
Why Court House Hill scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$999 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How Court House Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 165Total filings over 4 yrs
- 13.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.0%Peak (2014)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Court House Hill
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 165 evictions over 4 years of observation. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 23.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lynchburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 13.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000500?
Census tract 51680000500 in the Court House Hill neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680000500?
Median gross rent is $999/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000500?
21.7% of residents in tract 51680000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 567.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 1th, minority 27th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 51680000500 considered part of Court House Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000500 fall within Court House Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 165 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51680000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.50% of renter households, peaking at 23.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51680000500 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51680000500 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680000500 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51680000500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westend
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cornerstone
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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