1 census tracts · pop 4,322 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 4.2–4.2
Tate Springs is a one-tract neighborhood of Lynchburg, VA, population 4,322. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Lynchburg rate of 31.0%.
26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.
Average gross rent is $856, 20% below the Lynchburg average of $1,073. Court records for this tract carry 498 eviction filings.
The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 12.5% of renter households. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10.
Recent filings have not receded much: 14.1% in 2016 against a 12.5% peak. That places it #11 of 22 neighborhoods in Lynchburg.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Montview and Westend. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $47,262.
One tract means one number: 4.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Tate Springs vs LynchburgHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Tate Springs
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
498Total filings (sum)
12.17%Avg annual filing rate
12.5%Peak year (2014)
14.06%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tate Springs
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.5%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
13.8%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
35.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Tate Springs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tate Springs?
Tate Springs scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tate Springs compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tate Springs scores 0.3 points higher than Lynchburg overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $856 vs $1,073.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tate Springs?
Average gross rent in Tate Springs is $856/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tate Springs residents are renters?
57% of Tate Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 4,322 residents.
Q5
Is Tate Springs a high social-vulnerability area?
Tate Springs sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Tate Springs for landlords?
Tate Springs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Tate Springs?
Tate Springs has 4,396 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.6%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
