Skip to content
Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

Tate Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,322 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Tate Springs is a white-black neighborhood in Lynchburg with 1 census tract and a population of 4,322 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $856/month sits 20% lower than the Lynchburg citywide average ($1,073).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Tate Springs vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.5% +79%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$856 -20%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$47,262 -21%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
17.5% +1%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
57.4% +12%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tate Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Tate Springs scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
17.5% below poverty line · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Tate Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tate Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tate Springs: 4.94.9Tate SpringsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Tate Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680000300 4.9 4,322 56% $856
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 97%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tate Springs

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 498Total filings (sum)
  • 12.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 14.06%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tate Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tate Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tate Springs?

Tate Springs scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tate Springs compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tate Springs scores 0.9 points higher than Lynchburg overall (4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $856 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tate Springs?

Average gross rent in Tate Springs is $856/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tate Springs residents are renters?

57% of Tate Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 4,322 residents.
Q5

Is Tate Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Tate Springs sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Tate Springs for landlords?

Tate Springs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Tate Springs?

Tate Springs has 4,396 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.6%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tate Springs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tate Springs.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further