Lower Rivermont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000400 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 2,923 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51680000400 runs through the Lower Rivermont neighborhood of Lynchburg. With 2,923 residents, it scores 5.4/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #40,926 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $813 monthly, set against $42,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.4286, -79.1526 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Rivermont scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lower Rivermont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 14%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 588Total filings over 4 yrs
- 21.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.9%Peak (2016)
- 174Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.9%Food insecurity
- 23.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 37.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lower Rivermont
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Part of this tract, about 14% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51680000400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000400?
What is the average rent in tract 51680000400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000400?
Is tract 51680000400 considered part of Lower Rivermont?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680000400?
What share of households in tract 51680000400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51680000400 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Was tract 51680000400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.