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Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

Three Fountains Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,079 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Three Fountains maps to a single census tract in Lynchburg, VA and houses 3,079 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.

At $772 a month, rents sit 28% under what the rest of Lynchburg commands. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Against a Lynchburg baseline of 31.0%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Lynchburg, it ranks #14 by risk, the middle third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Three Fountains vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.3% +20%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$772 -28%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$53,690 -10%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
14.7% -15%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
43.1% -16%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Three Fountains and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Three Fountains scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
14.7% below poverty line · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Three Fountains vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Three Fountains score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8Three FountainsNeighborhood3.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Three Fountains

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680000205 3.8 3,079 37% $772
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Three Fountains

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Three Fountains

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Three Fountains?

Three Fountains scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Three Fountains compare to Lynchburg overall?

Three Fountains scores 0.1 points lower than Lynchburg overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $772 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Three Fountains?

Average gross rent in Three Fountains is $772/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Three Fountains residents are renters?

43% of Three Fountains households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 3,079 residents.
Q5

Is Three Fountains a high social-vulnerability area?

Three Fountains sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Three Fountains for landlords?

Three Fountains carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Three Fountains?

Three Fountains has 2,752 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Three Fountains

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Three Fountains.

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