Three Fountains Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000205 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,079 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 51680000205 in the Three Fountains area of Lynchburg ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,079 residents. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $772 monthly, set against $53,690 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.4107, -79.2005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Three Fountains scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Three Fountains compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.8%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Three Fountains
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 3.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51680000205
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000205?
What is the average rent in tract 51680000205?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000205?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000205?
Is tract 51680000205 considered part of Three Fountains?
What share of households in tract 51680000205 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51680000205 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Was tract 51680000205 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.