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Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

New Towne Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,203 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

New Towne maps to a single census tract in Lynchburg, VA, population 3,203. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. This is a renter market: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 29% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 3/10.

Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Lynchburg, it ranks #16 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Beverly Hills and Sandusky. Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Average gross rent runs $1,108, close to the Lynchburg average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
New Towne vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.2% -6%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,108 +3%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$66,970 +12%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
11.8% -32%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
75.6% +48%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New Towne and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why New Towne scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
11.8% below poverty line · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

New Towne vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

New Towne score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2New TowneNeighborhood3.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in New Towne

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680000902 3.2 3,203 29% $1,108
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in New Towne

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About New Towne

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for New Towne?

New Towne scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does New Towne compare to Lynchburg overall?

New Towne scores 0.7 points lower than Lynchburg overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,108 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in New Towne?

Average gross rent in New Towne is $1,108/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of New Towne residents are renters?

76% of New Towne households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 3,203 residents.
Q5

Is New Towne a high social-vulnerability area?

New Towne sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is New Towne for landlords?

New Towne carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of New Towne?

New Towne has 3,227 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.7%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near New Towne

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to New Towne.

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