Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

New Towne Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,203 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

New Towne is a white-black neighborhood in Lynchburg with 1 census tract and a population of 3,203 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 29% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,108/month sits 3% higher than the Lynchburg citywide average ($1,073).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

New Towne vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.2% -6%

Lynchburg: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$1,108 +3%

Lynchburg: $1,073

Average HH income

$66,970 +12%

Lynchburg: $59,808

Poverty rate

11.8% -32%

Lynchburg: 17.4%

Renter share

75.6% +48%

Lynchburg: 51.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New Towne and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why New Towne scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Rent control risk

29% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

76% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

11.8% below poverty line · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Risk score comparison

New Towne vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in New Towne

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51680000902	4.1	3,203	29%	$1,108

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 22%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 66%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in New Towne

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.4%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
8.8%No health insurance
28.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About New Towne

What is the eviction-risk score for New Towne?

New Towne scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does New Towne compare to Lynchburg overall?

New Towne scores 0.1 points higher than Lynchburg overall (4/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,108 vs $1,073.

What is the average rent in New Towne?

Average gross rent in New Towne is $1,108/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of New Towne residents are renters?

76% of New Towne households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 3,203 residents.

Is New Towne a high social-vulnerability area?

New Towne sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is New Towne for landlords?

New Towne carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of New Towne?

New Towne has 3,227 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.7%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near New Towne

5 Westend 2 tracts · pop 4,349

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to New Towne.

4.1 Beverly Hills 1 tracts · pop 5,696 4.1 Sandusky 1 tracts · pop 3,769 3.8 Mayfield 1 tracts · pop 2,339 3.8 Chestnut Hill 1 tracts · pop 3,229 4.5 Three Fountains 1 tracts · pop 3,079 4.5 Lakeland 1 tracts · pop 2,617

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