Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

Winston Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,675 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Winston Ridge is a black-white neighborhood in Lynchburg with 1 census tract and a population of 4,675 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $964/month sits 10% lower than the Lynchburg citywide average ($1,073).

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Winston Ridge vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.2% +72%

Lynchburg: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$964 -10%

Lynchburg: $1,073

Average HH income

$49,001 -18%

Lynchburg: $59,808

Poverty rate

26.5% +52%

Lynchburg: 17.4%

Renter share

53.3% +4%

Lynchburg: 51.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winston Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Winston Ridge scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

53% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

26.5% below poverty line · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Winston Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Winston Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51680001900	5.5	4,675	53%	$964

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 83%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 94%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Winston Ridge

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

926Total filings (sum)
25.67%Avg annual filing rate
29.4%Peak year (2013)
23.51%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winston Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

25.3%Housing insecurity
19.2%Utility shutoff threat
34.3%Food insecurity
36.2%SNAP enrollment
13.6%No health insurance
43.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Winston Ridge

What is the eviction-risk score for Winston Ridge?

Winston Ridge scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Winston Ridge compare to Lynchburg overall?

Winston Ridge scores 1.5 points higher than Lynchburg overall (4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $964 vs $1,073.

What is the average rent in Winston Ridge?

Average gross rent in Winston Ridge is $964/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Winston Ridge residents are renters?

53% of Winston Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 4,675 residents.

Is Winston Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Winston Ridge sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Winston Ridge for landlords?

Winston Ridge carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Winston Ridge?

Winston Ridge has 4,683 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (43.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winston Ridge

5 Westend 2 tracts · pop 4,349

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winston Ridge.

5.6 Miller Park 1 tracts · pop 2,918 5.6 College Park 1 tracts · pop 3,083 5.7 Woodbine Village 1 tracts · pop 3,824 5.7 Diamond Hill 1 tracts · pop 1,804 5.2 Lower Rivermont 1 tracts · pop 2,923 5.2 Cornerstone 1 tracts · pop 3,451

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