1 census tracts · pop 4,675 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
Winston Ridge maps to a single census tract in Lynchburg, VA, population 4,675. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 53% against 31.0% citywide, putting Winston Ridge 22.2% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 19.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Food insecurity affects 34.3% of adults, 16.5 points above the national rate. Court records for this tract carry 926 eviction filings. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 29.4% of renter households. Running cool is supply constraint, at 3/10. At $964 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Lynchburg commands.
Recent filings have not receded much: 23.5% in 2016 against a 29.4% peak. That places it #6 of 22 neighborhoods in Lynchburg.
For a like-for-like read, Tinbridge Hill and Miller Park score within a fraction of it.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Winston Ridge vs LynchburgHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Winston Ridge
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
926Total filings (sum)
25.67%Avg annual filing rate
29.4%Peak year (2013)
23.51%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winston Ridge
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
25.3%Housing insecurity
19.2%Utility shutoff threat
34.3%Food insecurity
36.2%SNAP enrollment
13.6%No health insurance
43.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Winston Ridge
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Winston Ridge?
Winston Ridge scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Winston Ridge compare to Lynchburg overall?
Winston Ridge scores 1.3 points higher than Lynchburg overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $964 vs $1,073.
Q3
What is the average rent in Winston Ridge?
Average gross rent in Winston Ridge is $964/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Winston Ridge residents are renters?
53% of Winston Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 4,675 residents.
Q5
Is Winston Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?
Winston Ridge sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Winston Ridge for landlords?
Winston Ridge carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Winston Ridge?
Winston Ridge has 4,683 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (43.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
