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Neighborhood · Lynchburg, VA

College Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,083 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

College Park is a diverse neighborhood in Lynchburg with 1 census tract and a population of 3,083 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $980/month sits 9% lower than the Lynchburg citywide average ($1,073).

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
College Park vs Lynchburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.4% +63%
Lynchburg: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$980 -9%
Lynchburg: $1,073
Average HH income
$42,731 -29%
Lynchburg: $59,808
Poverty rate
26.9% +55%
Lynchburg: 17.4%
Renter share
63.0% +23%
Lynchburg: 51.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across College Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why College Park scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
26.9% below poverty line · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

College Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

College Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.College Park: 5.65.6College ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in College Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51680001601 5.6 3,083 50% $980
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in College Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About College Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for College Park?

College Park scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does College Park compare to Lynchburg overall?

College Park scores 1.6 points higher than Lynchburg overall (4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $980 vs $1,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in College Park?

Average gross rent in College Park is $980/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of College Park residents are renters?

63% of College Park households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lynchburg). The neighborhood has 3,083 residents.
Q5

Is College Park a high social-vulnerability area?

College Park sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is College Park for landlords?

College Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynchburg as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of College Park?

College Park has 2,791 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18%), Hispanic / Latino (16.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near College Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynchburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to College Park.

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