2 census tracts · pop 14,302 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10
· range 3.1–4.6
Lee Manor is a 2-tract neighborhood of Manassas, VA, population 14,302. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, Lower tier. Against a Manassas baseline of 30.9%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.7/10.
Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.1 to 4.6. A 1.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running cool is supply constraint, at 3/10. That places it #3 of 5 neighborhoods in Manassas.
Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent runs $1,854, close to the Manassas average.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lee Manor vs ManassasHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lee Manor
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.3%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
16.1%No health insurance
29.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lee Manor
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lee Manor?
Lee Manor scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lee Manor compare to Manassas overall?
Lee Manor scores 0.1 points lower than Manassas overall (4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,854 vs $1,850.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lee Manor?
Average gross rent in Lee Manor is $1,854/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lee Manor residents are renters?
25% of Lee Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Manassas). The neighborhood has 14,302 residents.
Q5
Is Lee Manor a high social-vulnerability area?
Lee Manor sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lee Manor have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lee Manor is census tract 51683910401 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 4.6, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Lee Manor for landlords?
Lee Manor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manassas as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lee Manor?
Lee Manor has 14,577 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
