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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Carriage Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,530 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Carriage Hill is a white-black neighborhood in Newport News with 1 census tract and a population of 3,530 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 5% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,605/month sits 20% higher than the Newport News citywide average ($1,339).

Risk score
3.5
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carriage Hill vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.7% +85%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,605 +20%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$77,270 +16%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
4.7% -69%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
24.9% -52%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carriage Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Carriage Hill scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Carriage Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carriage Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carriage Hill: 3.53.5Carriage HillNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carriage Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700032007 3.5 3,530 57% $1,605
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 42%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carriage Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 258Total filings (sum)
  • 15.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 14.29%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carriage Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carriage Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carriage Hill?

Carriage Hill scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carriage Hill compare to Newport News overall?

Carriage Hill scores 0.8 points lower than Newport News overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,605 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carriage Hill?

Average gross rent in Carriage Hill is $1,605/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carriage Hill residents are renters?

25% of Carriage Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 3,530 residents.
Q5

Is Carriage Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Carriage Hill sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carriage Hill for landlords?

Carriage Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carriage Hill?

Carriage Hill has 3,740 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carriage Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carriage Hill.

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