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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Carriage Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,530 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Carriage Hill is a one-tract neighborhood of Newport News, VA, population 3,530. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 30.6% citywide, putting Carriage Hill 26.1% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.2/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,605, 20% above the Newport News average of $1,339.

The filing record is not thin: 258 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 17.1% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 14.3% in 2016 against a 17.1% peak.

Among the 30 mapped neighborhoods of Newport News, it ranks #22 by risk, the lower third. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Edgewood and Beverly Hills.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $77,270.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carriage Hill vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.7% +85%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,605 +20%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$77,270 +16%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
4.7% -69%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
24.9% -52%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carriage Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Carriage Hill scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Carriage Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carriage Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Carriage HillNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carriage Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700032007 3 3,530 57% $1,605
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 42%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carriage Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 258Total filings (sum)
  • 15.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 14.29%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carriage Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carriage Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carriage Hill?

Carriage Hill scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carriage Hill compare to Newport News overall?

Carriage Hill scores 1.0 points lower than Newport News overall (4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,605 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carriage Hill?

Average gross rent in Carriage Hill is $1,605/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carriage Hill residents are renters?

25% of Carriage Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 3,530 residents.
Q5

Is Carriage Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Carriage Hill sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carriage Hill for landlords?

Carriage Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carriage Hill?

Carriage Hill has 3,740 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carriage Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carriage Hill.

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